How Close Are We Really to Achieving AGI? AI Expert Says 49%

NEWSLETTER ✉️ http://DylanCurious.com
PATREON 💰 https://patreon.com/DylanCurious (Monthly Video Call)

In today's episode, we're charting the course of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) as of June 2023, guided by the timeline presented by AI expert Dr. Alan D. Thompson.

A critical turning point came in 2017, with the birth of the attention mechanism by Google researchers, paving the way for the creation of Transformers. These are the foundation of powerful AI models like GPT, and according to Dr. Thompson, we're about halfway to achieving AGI from here.

The period between 2017 and 2023 has been rich with major AI advancements, each one a stepping stone on our path to AGI. These include our deeper understanding of GPT-3's capabilities, innovative applications of AI in microchip design, and the emergence of multitasking models like DeepMind's Gato.

By 2020, we had made roughly 30% progress towards AGI, nudging up to 31% by 2021. Significant leaps, like the unveiling of GPT-3's remarkable abilities and the use of AI in hardware design, were clear indicators of this progress. In May 2022, the introduction of DeepMind's Gato model propelled us to 39% completion, thanks to its impressive capabilities and the demonstration of human-like general intelligence.

As 2022 came to a close, progress continued with developments in autonomous AI systems and AI-assisted human tasks. Into 2023, we saw AGI estimates rise to 41%, largely due to Microsoft's innovative use of ChatGPT in operating robotic components. The introduction of Google's PaLM-E 562B, capable of planning its own future based on visual and language data, took AGI estimates up to 42%.

The launch of the even more powerful GPT-4 model and the integration of AI into robotics have substantially fast-tracked our journey towards AGI. Stay tuned to "Curious Future" for more updates on the fascinating world of AI, and don't forget to subscribe for the latest in AI, technology, and innovation.

CURIOUS FUTURE: @dylan_curious
↪ https://www.youtube.com/channe....l/UCpdyFxSktWo3W6kMY

CURIOUS PODCAST: @dontsweatitpod
↪ https://www.youtube.com/channe....l/UChChPrDzfifYB9Si1

CURIOUS FRIENDS: @vegasfriends
↪ https://www.youtube.com/channe....l/UCJ2Q3smwCLmbEDDA3

00:00 - Artificial General Intelligence, 50% Complete: Fact or Fiction?
00:42 - Did Google’s Invention of the Transformers Take Us 20% of the Way to AGI?
01:23 - 30% to AGI in 2020? Unraveling the AI Progress Debate
02:24 - AI Designing AI: The 31% Milestone Towards AGI in 2021
03:14 - DeepMind’s Gato Model: The Super Multitasker Pushing AGI to 39%?
03:48 - We Are 39% Of The Way To AGI: Unraveling Antropic’s Human Reinforcement Method
04:55 - Microsoft’s ChatGPT Pushed Us 41% Closer To AGI
05:49 - AGI at 42%: After Google’s PaLM-E 562B’s Shows Adaptive Abilities
07:19 - AGI at 48%: What Does this Mean for AI’s Future?
08:43 - Humans at 94%, AI at 90.9% | AGI Progress Is Moving Fast
09:37 - 2 Milestone To Look For Before AGI Arrives On Earth

SOURCES:
https://lifearchitect.ai/agi/
https://ai.googleblog.com/2017..../08/transformer-nove
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HrV19SjKUss&t=175s&ab_channel=MachineLearningStreetTalk
@MachineLearningStreetTalk
https://www.theverge.com/2021/....6/10/22527476/google
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03544-w
https://lifearchitect.ai/the-sky-is-on-fire/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6fWEHrXN9zo&list=PLqJbCeNOfEK-o63ACEKEbwE6-XpEXXS_I&ab_channel=DrAlanD.Thompson
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gato_(DeepMind)
https://www.deepmind.com/publi....cations/a-generalist
@DrAlanDThompson
https://developer.nvidia.com/b....log/designing-arithm
https://www.microsoft.com/en-u....s/research/group/aut
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wLOChUtdqoA&ab_channel=MicrosoftAutonomousSystems%26RoboticsResearch
@msftautonomoussys
https://palm-e.github.io/
https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.12712
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XyCKe3rrYik&ab_channel=STrucBot
https://www.fastcompany.com/90....889271/boston-dynami
https://tidybot.cs.princeton.edu/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vq_DcZ_xc_E&ab_channel=AgilityRobotics
@Structon
@AgilityRobotics

WATCH THE FULL VIDEO ⤵
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xyzY3cj7tTA

#ai #artificialintelligence #tech #agi #gpt3 #gpt4 #deepmind #chatgpt #robotics #google #microsoft #machinelearning #autonomousai #palm-e562b #gato #transformers #futuretech #innovation #aitechnology #aitimeline #curiousfuture #alanthompson #artificialgeneralintelligence #aidesign #aipredictions #aiadvancements #aiupdates