This Just Changed My Mind About AGI

There have been 4 research papers and technological advancements over the last 4 weeks that in combination drastically changed my outlook on the AGI timeline.

GPT-4 can teach itself to become better through self reflection, learn tools with minimal demonstrations, it can act as a central brain and outsource tasks to other models (HuggingGPT) and it can behave as an autonomous agent that can pursue a multi-step goal without human intervention (Auto-GPT). It is not an overstatement that there are already Sparks of AGI.

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Further sources:
Reflexion: an autonomous agent with dynamic memory and self-reflection: https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.11366
HuggingGPT: Solving AI Tasks with ChatGPT and its Friends in HuggingFace: https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.17580
Auto-GPT: An Autonomous GPT-4 Experiment: https://github.com/Torantulino/Auto-GPT
Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4: https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.12712